Biological Health Hazard – HAZMAT, Vaccine Contamination
Biological Health Hazard – Biological HAZMAT, Vaccine Contamination
Middle-East – Syria | Province of Idlib, Multiple towns
Bio-hazard Level: 4/4 Hazardous
Location: N 35° 59.054, E 36° 58.520
HAZMAT (Biological) in Syria on Wednesday, 17 September, 2014 at 03:35 (03:35 AM) UTC.
At least 34 children have died in rebel-held Syria after being injected with contaminated measles vaccines, the rebel government said on Tuesday, warning that the deaths might be caused by saboteurs linked to the Assad regime. The death toll is expected to rise, with many children from eight towns in Idlib province, north-west Syria, still in intensive care on Tuesday night. Parents accused opposition health authorities of failing to store the vaccines properly, and of supplying out-of-date medication. But opposition officials denied accusations of negligence, saying that the vaccines came from Unicef and WHO, via the Turkish government, and that the same batch had successfully vaccinated 60,000 schoolchildren in 30 locations in recent days. Instead, the opposition health ministry attributed the deaths to foul play, with health minister Adnan Hazouri promising to resign if an investigation upheld allegations of negligence. “Primary investigations point to a limited security breach by vandals likely connected to the regime, which has been attempting to target the medical sector in Free Syria in order to spread chaos,” the ministry said in a statement. “The symptoms don’t just indicate spoiled vaccines – it suggests they’ve been contaminated,” Bashar Kayal, another health official, told Radio Hawa Smart, a Syrian-focused station based across the border in Gaziantep, Turkey. Blood samples have been sent to Turkey for analysis, and the vaccination programme suspended. These moves have done little to convince parents in Idlib province, who fear many more children might be affected. But the head of Idlib’s medical department, Monther Khalil, claimed the worst was over. “The department assures all parents who have had their children vaccinated that the vaccine is completely fine and there is no risk to children who have already been injected,” Khalil told Radio Hawa Smart, a Syrian-focused station based across the border in Gaziantep, Turkey. “We have already vaccinated 60,000 children against measles and there has been no previous problem. The same crews also previously carried out a polio campaign, where they vaccinated 252,000 children across seven rounds, and there were no abnormal complications.” Idlib province is held by moderate rebel groups opposed to both Syria’s dictator, Bashar al-Assad, and the extremist Islamic State (Isis). The area was the subject of a fierce military campaign earlier this year, which saw the rebels regain control.
Source: RSOE EDIS
Biological Health Hazard – Measles: Disease Outbreak, Health Threat
Epidemic Hazard – Measles Outbreak
Pacific – Solomon Islands | Makira-Ulawa Province
Bio-hazard Level: 2/4 Medium
Location: S 10° 34.425, E 161° 48.582
Humans Infected: 11
Biological Hazard in Solomon Islands on Wednesday, 17 September, 2014 at 03:33 (03:33 AM) UTC.
The Makira Ulawa Provincial Health Director said 11 suspected measles cases were reported in the province last week. Dr Arnold Nguduamae told SIBC News, nine suspected measles cases are from Waimapuru National Secondary School, while two were reported from communities close by to Kirakira. He said health officials in Kirakira were dispatched to Waimapuru school to raise awareness on measles last Wednesday. “Kirakira hospital has identified a total of 11 suspected cases as of Friday last week.After sighting these cases at the school we went to give them awareness especially what to know about measles as well as avoiding the stigma associated with the suspected cases.” Dr Nguduamae confirmed that measles vaccines have been received from Honiara. Child Health Officer of Kirakira Hospital Hudson Taro says a team of medical officers have gone into the communities to provide measles vaccines to students and children in Kirakira. Taro said additional vaccines will need to be dispatched soon as current supplies will not be enough for the whole province. “The supply that was received on Friday will not cover the whole province until other supplies will arrive. I think we only receive 3,000 doses where it will not cover the whole province as of yet and we are still waiting for some more supplies.” He said the current supplies is enough for students and children under five year old. “Because of limited vaccine we are only targetting under five year old and students who are in Primary schools as well as those at Waimapuru school, but there is a high demand from the age above 30, where it’s a big challenge we have at this point in time because few cases we have are adult cases, more than the age group, which is quite challenging, said Taro.
Biological Hazard – Legionaire’s Disease (Legionella infections)
North America - USA | State of Maryland, Ocean City
Bio-hazard Level: 4/4 Hazardous
Location: N 38° 20.190, W 75° 5.094
Biological Hazard in USA on Wednesday, 17 September, 2014 at 03:27 (03:27 AM) UTC.
Two people developed Legionellosis while on a trip to Ocean City, according to the Worcester County Health Department. Health officials said the two people both stayed at the Econolodge Oceanblock on 145th Street. The hotel has informed past and current guests of the illnesses. Water samples from the hotel were sent to a state lab. Health officials said water testing results showed that there were low levels of legionella bacteria present in the potable water system in the hotel. The hotel has voluntarily closed while it fixes of the water system. According to the county Health Department, Legionellosis is a form of pneumonia caused by bacteria called Legionella pneumophila. Most cases occur as single cases and outbreaks are rare. The signs are the same as pneumonia: fever, cough, shortness of breath and flu-like symptoms such as chills and body aches. The disease is spread by inhaling aerosols of water containing the legionella bacteria. It does not pass person to person. It is generally within two to five days of exposure to the bacteria that symptoms develop, although it may take as long as 14 days. Not everyone who is exposed to the bacteria will become ill.
Source: RSOE EDIS
Conspiracy theories are now so commonplace that they are no longer news.
However, Islamic terrorism is described as something else throughout the White House and US government.
What does the bloated Homeland Security Agency do or the DOJ, BATF and FBI, etc,? Why does big government need more expensive agencies and useless programs before they can justify what they have? Why exactly does Holder think he has to create a new program? Perhaps he is just an overreaching, intrusive, fascist like so many of his government peers.
Holder apparently never explained what kind of “violent extremism” he hopes to counter. Susan Jones of CNS News writes that it “sounds like he wants law enforcement and community leaders to meet regularly, to share information on people who may have traveled overseas to join ISIS, or on people who may be plotting attacks right here in the U.S.” Yet if Holder did make any reference, however oblique, to jihadis traveling overseas to join the Islamic State, Jones did not quote it. The only thing Holder says that is close to that, at least according to this report, is this: “We must be both innovative and aggressive in countering violent extremism and combating those who would sow intolerance, division, and hate – not just within our borders, but with our international partners on a global scale.” As far as Holder and his boss are concerned, the people sowing “intolerance, division, and hate” are not Islamic jihadists, whom Obama has aided in Libya, Syria and elsewhere, but foes of jihad terror — after all, Obama has mandated the deletion of all mention of Islam and jihad from counterterror training material, and Holder’s Justice Department has joined Islamic supremacist lawsuits designed to win special privileges and accommodation for Muslims. So when Holder says that the Feds “will work closely with community representatives to develop comprehensive local strategies,” will it be to combat jihad terror, or to combat those who are trying to raise awareness about jihad terror?
“Holder Announces Pilot Programs to Counter ‘Violent Extremism,’” by Susan Jones, CNS News, September 15, 2014:
(CNSNews.com) – Attorney General Eric Holder on Monday announced an effort to counter “violent extremism” by spurring “local engagement” in cities across the country.
He did not offer specifics, but it sounds like he wants law enforcement and community leaders to meet regularly, to share information on people who may have traveled overseas to join ISIS, or on people who may be plotting attacks right here in the U.S.
“Today, I am announcing that the Department of Justice is partnering with the White House, the Department of Homeland Security, and the National Counterterrorism Center to launch a new series of pilot programs in cities across the nation,” Holder said.
“These programs will bring together community representatives, public safety officials, religious leaders, and United States Attorneys to improve local engagement; to counter violent extremism; and — ultimately — to build a broad network of community partnerships to keep our nation safe.”
Holder said the administration “will work closely with community representatives to develop comprehensive local strategies, to raise awareness about important issues, to share information on best practices, and to expand and improve training in every area of the country.”
He noted that since 2012, U.S. attorneys have held or attended more than 1,700 “engagement-related events or meetings to enhance trust and facilitate communication in their neighborhoods and districts.” The new pilot programs will build on that work, he said.
Holder also announced that the White House plans to host a “Countering Violent Extremism” summit in October.
Holder did not mention Islam or Muslims, and he used the phrase “violent extremism” to describe the “urgent” threat that the nation faces.
“We must be both innovative and aggressive in countering violent extremism and combating those who would sow intolerance, division, and hate – not just within our borders, but with our international partners on a global scale. And we must never lose sight of what violent extremists fear the most: the strength of our communities; our unwavering respect for equality, civil rights, and civil liberties; and our enduring commitment to justice, democracy, and the rule of law.”
Source: Jihad Watch
WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON IN THIS COUNTRY!
You’ve probably already guessed it.
A mathematical model that replicates Ebola outbreaks can no longer be used to ascertain the eventual scale of the current epidemic, finds research conducted by the University of Warwick.
Dr Thomas House, of the University’s Warwick Mathematics Institute, developed a model that incorporated data from past outbreaks that successfully replicated their eventual scale.
The research, titled Epidemiological Dynamics of Ebola Outbreaks and published by eLife, shows that when applying the available data from the ongoing 2014 outbreak to the model that it is, according to Dr House, “out of all proportion and on an unprecedented scale when compared to previous outbreaks”.
Dr House commented: “If we analyse the data from past outbreaks we are able to design a model that works for the recorded cases of the virus spreading and can successfully replicate their eventual size. The current outbreak does not fit this previous pattern and, as a result, we are not in a position to provide an accurate prediction of the current outbreak”.
Chance events, Dr House argues, are an essential factor in the spread of Ebola and many other contagious diseases. “If we look at past Ebola outbreaks there is an identifiable way of predicting their overall size based on modelling chance events that are known to be important when the numbers of cases of infection are small and the spread is close to being controlled”.
Chance events can include a person’s location when they are most infectious, whether they are alone when ill, the travel patterns of those with whom they come into contact or whether they are close to adequate medical assistance.
The Warwick model successfully replicated the eventual scale of past outbreaks by analysing two key chance events: the initial number of people and the level of infectiousness once an epidemic is underway.
“With the current situation we are seeing something that defies this previous pattern of outbreak severity. As the current outbreak becomes more severe, it is less and less likely that it is a chance event and more likely that something more fundamental has changed”, says Dr House.
Discussing possible causes for the unprecedented nature of the current outbreak, Dr House argues that there could be a range of factors that lead it to be on a different scale to previous cases;
“This could be as a result of a number of different factors: mutation of virus, changes in social contact patterns or some combination of these with other factors. It is implausible to explain the current situation solely through a particularly severe outbreak within the previously observed pattern”.
In light of the research findings and the United Nations calling for a further $1bn USD to tackle the current outbreak, Dr House says that “Since we are not in a position to quantify the eventful scale of this unprecedented outbreak, the conclusion from this study is not to be complacent but to mobilise resources to combat the disease.”
More information: The paper can be viewed here: elifesciences.org/content/elif… eLife.03908.full.pdf
INCOMING CME: Another CME is en route to Earth.
SPACE WEATHER ADVISORY OUTLOOK #14-37
2014 September 14 at 8:34 p.m. MDT (2014 September 15 0234 UTC)
Summary For September 8-14
A category G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm occurred on 0155 UTC on 12 September due to a coronal mass ejection (CME) that was associated with a long duration M4/1n xray flare that originated from Region 2158 (N16, L=87, class/area Dkc/440 on 11 September) on 09 September. A category G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm occurred at 1741 UTC on 12 September due to a coronal mass ejection (CME) that was associated with an X1/2b xray flare that originated from Region 2158 (N16, L=87, class/area Dkc/440 on 11 September) on 10 September. A category G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storm also occurred at 2302 UTC on 12 September due to the same coronal mass ejection (CME) that was associated with an X1/2b xray flare that originated from Region 2158 (N16, L=87, class/area Dkc/440 on 11 September) on 10 September.
A category S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm (10MeV > 10 pfu) was observed at 0240 UTC on 11 September associated with solar activity from active sunspot region 2158. The 100MeV integrated flux also exceeded the 1 pfu threshold. A category S2 (Moderate) solar radiation storm (10MeV > 100 pfu) was observed at 1550 UTC on 12 September, also associated with solar activity from active sunspot region 2158.
Category R1 (Minor) radio blackouts were observed on 09 September at 0029 UTC, due to flare activity from active sunspot region 2158. Category R1 (Minor) radio blackouts were observed on 11 September at 1526 and 2126 UTC, due to flare activity from active sunspot region 2146. Category R1 (Minor) radio blackouts were observed on 14 September at 0216 UTC, due to flare activity from active sunspot region 2157 Category R3 (Strong) radio blackouts were observed on 10 September at 1745 UTC, due to flare activity from active sunspot region 2158.
Outlook For September 15-21
There is a slight chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions on 16 and 17 September due to recurrent coronal hole high speed stream effects combined with an expected arrival of a CME associated with a filament lift off on 12 September.
Category S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms are possible due to solar flare activity from various sunspot regions on the sun.
There is a chance for R1 (Minor) and R2 (Moderate) Radio Blackouts while Regions 2157 and 2158 transit the western limb with increasing probabilities for R1 and R2 Radio Blackouts as old Region 2149 (N09, L=302) and Region 2151 (S08, L=273) return to the visible disk.
INCOMING CME: Another CME is en route to Earth. It was launched in our direction four days ago by the eruption of a magnetic filament near the center of the solar disk. The impact won’t be as effective as the double-blow Earth experienced on Sept. 12th, when two CMEs hit in less than 24 hours. Nevertheless, NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Sept. 17th when the CME arrives. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.
Sunspot number: 92
On 16 September 2014, the NASA all-sky camera network reported 27 fireballs. (27 sporadics)
On 17 September2014 there were 1500 Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs).
3-day Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2014 Sep 16 2200 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 259 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Sep 2014 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 16/1927Z from Region 2158 (N16W81). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one and two (17 Sep, 18 Sep) and likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (19 Sep). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 539 km/s at 16/0144Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 16/0242Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 16/1829Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (17 Sep) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (18 Sep, 19 Sep). III. Event probabilities 17 Sep-19 Sep Class M 30/30/20 Class X 05/05/01 Proton 05/05/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 16 Sep 133 Predicted 17 Sep-19 Sep 130/130/120 90 Day Mean 16 Sep 130 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 15 Sep 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Sep 005/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Sep-19 Sep 008/012-008/008-007/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Sep-19 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 35/15/25 Minor Storm 15/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 30/25/25 Major-severe storm 50/25/30 http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/forecast.html